I’m broadly aligned with this base case, and I like how it separates near-term catalysts from the structural backdrop. The most useful part is making the view falsifiable. What’s the one indicator you’d watch first if markets start moving against the base case?
Hi Agisilaos, next week I’ll be keeping a close watch on the NFP and ISM data, as they’re key drivers in my framework. If the NFP shows a big upside surprise, I’ll review the new data to adjust my current dollar position.
I’m broadly aligned with this base case, and I like how it separates near-term catalysts from the structural backdrop. The most useful part is making the view falsifiable. What’s the one indicator you’d watch first if markets start moving against the base case?
Hi Agisilaos, next week I’ll be keeping a close watch on the NFP and ISM data, as they’re key drivers in my framework. If the NFP shows a big upside surprise, I’ll review the new data to adjust my current dollar position.